July Country Rankings

Country Portfolio Notes July 2017

  • Global equities marched slightly higher in higher in June, with the MSCI ACWI up 0.45%. The average country was up 0.78%, and the range of returns for June, between countries, was 10.23%.
  • All country returns YTD are positive. Brazil is the worst performing country YTD, up 3.00%. The top countries are Poland (+34%), Austria (+33%), Turkey (+32%) and Korea (+28%). The average country is up a 17.08% YTD.
  • European countries, as a whole, are making a strong move towards the top of the rankings. France is now our #2 ranked country, followed by Poland (#4), Spain (#5), Turkey (#6), Germany (#7) and Austria (#9). The Nordic countries (Sweden, Netherlands, and Denmark) round up #8, #10, and #11. We’ve seen this trend strengthening since the start of the year.

June Country Rankings

Country Portfolio Notes June 2017

  • Global equities continued to climb higher in May, with the MSCI ACWI up 2.21%. The average country was up 3.15%, and the range of returns for May, between countries, was 14.42%%.
  • The United States continues to fall in our country rankings. Now ranked 15th overall, the U.S. suffers from expensive Valuations, increased Risk, and deteriorating Momentum. The U.S. has a 3.1x P/B ratio (vs a country avg. of 1.9x) and a 18x 12mo Forward P/E ratio (vs a country avg. of 14x). Over the last 3 months, the U.S. is the sixth worst performing country, up 2% vs a country avg. of 8%.
  • China and Korea remain our #1 and #2 ranked countries. Both exhibit cheap Valuations and better than average Fundamentals. China has the best Earnings Growth (19% vs country avg. of 11%), followed closely by Korea (17.5%). Korea has the best Growth/PE ratio (1.4x vs a country avg. of 0.6x) followed closely by China (1.2x). We expect these countries to continue to stay at the top of our rankings.

INTL Momentum Has Shifted

International Relative Strength has shifted, and the time to increase your International exposure is now.

INTL Now – Relative Strength 05.2017

 

https://www.etftrends.com/etf-investing/3-reasons-why-the-price-is-right-for-international-opportunities/

Accuvest Market Update Q1 2017

May Country Rankings

 Country Portfolio Notes May 2017

 

  • The United States was up slightly, up 1.05%. Japan was the same, up 1.05%, and Europe as a whole was up 3.53%. Europe was the best performing region for the second straight month. EM wasn’t far behind, up 2.19% during April. EM is still the best YTD, up 14%.
  • All countries returns stayed positive so far for 2017. Canada is the worst performing country YTD, up 0.33%. The best is Poland, up over 31%.. The top countries are Poland (+31%), Turkey (+23.5%), and Spain, Korea, and Mexico (all up over 17%). The average country is up 12.62% YTD.
  • Japan fell 9 spots to 16th This is due to deteriorating Fundamental dat. Japan has a 7.9% ROE vs a country avg. of 9.5%. We are currently hedging our Yen exposure.

April Country Rankings

Country Portfolio Notes April 2017

  • Global equities continued to surge higher in March, with the MSCI ACWI up 1.22%. The average country was up 3.08%, and the range of returns for March, between countries, was 15.50%.
  • The United States was flat, up only 0.10%. Japan was down ‐0.37%, and Europe as a whole was up 4.02%. Europe was the best performing region during the month. EM was the next best, up 2.52% during March. EM is also the best YTD, up 11.44%.
  • China is now the #1 ranked country. It exhibits the best Fundamental score, 3rd best Value score, and 12th best Momentum score. Germany and Austria continue to be the highest ranked European countries, taking the 3rd and 4th ranks

March Country Rankings

Country Portfolio Notes March 2017

 

  • Global equities continued to surge higher in February, with the MSCI ACWI up 2.81%. The average country was up 2.04%, and the range of returns for February, between countries, was 8.50%.
  • The United States was up 3.86%, Japan was up 1.12%, and Europe as a whole was up 1.19%. Europe was again, the worst performing region during the month. EM was the best, up 8.70% YTD.
  • Israel surged to the top of the rankings and is now ranked #2 overall. Israel has the best Fundamentals, led by the fastest growth in PMI (7.40% vs a country avg. of 1.1%). It also has 17.1% earnings growth compared to a country avg. of 11.2%.

Accuvest Market Update Q4 2016

Investing Insights: Why Global and Why Now

Here is a look as to why investors should re-think their overweights to the U.S. right now.

Since 1970, there have been five periods where the U.S. has outperformed International markets, and five periods where International has outperformed the U.S. The average cycle length for the U.S. outperforming is 68.6 months with an average outperformance over International markets of 79%. Our current U.S. outperformance cycle is over 107 months, the longest we’ve seen since 1970 (as far back as the data goes).

PDF imageWhy Global and Why Now

February Country Rankings

PDF imageFebruary Portfolio Notes

  • Global equities started the year off strong in January, with the MSCI ACWI up 2.73%. The average country was up 4.04%, and the range of returns for January, between countries, was 23.44%.
  • The United States was up 2.04%, Japan was up 3.72%, and Europe as a whole was up 2.08%. Europe was the worst performing region during January, while Pacific ex Japan (+5.68%) and EM (+5.47%) were the best performing regions.